2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Most likely right now
1st hottest
1.397%
TechVol $364Total volume $2.2KLiquidity $2.5Kin 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
1st hottest
97.5%
1.3
4th or lower
2.50%
2.4
2nd hottest
0.65%
0.7
3rd hottest
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.