Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?

Polymarket traders put "70,000" at 98.8% on "Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?". $8.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
70,000
–99%
CryptoVol $8.1KTotal volume $8.1KLiquidity $189Kin 7 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
70,000
98.8%
–
72,000
98.0%
–
74,000
95.4%
–
76,000
91.5%
–
78,000
81.5%
–
80,000
63.5%
–
82,000
42.0%
–
84,000
23.5%
–
86,000
11.0%
–
88,000
5.50%
–
90,000
2.15%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.