Bitcoin above ___ on October 1?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.2% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 1?". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
74,000
–98%
CryptoVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $130Kin 7 days (Oct 1)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.2%
–
76,000
97.4%
–
78,000
94.7%
–
80,000
89.5%
–
82,000
75.5%
–
84,000
55.0%
–
86,000
33.0%
–
88,000
16.5%
–
90,000
6.50%
–
92,000
3.15%
–
94,000
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.