Bitcoin above ___ on October 10?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.6% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 10?". $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.

Most likely right now
74,000
–99%
CryptoVol $140Total volume $140Liquidity $122Kin 7 days (Oct 10)
Current probability

Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.6%
–
76,000
98.4%
–
78,000
97.3%
–
80,000
94.0%
–
82,000
81.5%
–
84,000
60.0%
–
86,000
34.0%
–
88,000
15.5%
–
90,000
6.00%
–
92,000
2.85%
–
94,000
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.