Bitcoin above ___ on October 14?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.5% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 14?". $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 14.

Most likely right now
74,000
–99%
CryptoVol $2.2KTotal volume $2.2KLiquidity $238Kin 7 days (Oct 14)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.5%
–
76,000
97.0%
–
78,000
93.0%
–
80,000
83.0%
–
82,000
65.0%
–
84,000
42.0%
–
86,000
22.0%
–
88,000
10.5%
–
90,000
4.80%
–
92,000
1.85%
–
94,000
1.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.