Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.7% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?". $4.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 18.

Most likely right now
74,000
–99%
CryptoVol $4.9KTotal volume $4.9KLiquidity $161Kin 7 days (Oct 18)
Current probability

Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.7%
–
76,000
96.6%
–
78,000
94.0%
–
80,000
86.0%
–
82,000
69.5%
–
84,000
47.0%
–
86,000
26.0%
–
88,000
11.5%
–
90,000
4.60%
–
92,000
2.55%
–
94,000
1.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.