Bitcoin above ___ on October 5?

Polymarket traders put "74,000" at 98.4% on "Bitcoin above ___ on October 5?". $343 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
74,000
–98%
CryptoVol $343Total volume $343Liquidity $241Kin 6 days (Oct 5)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
74,000
98.4%
–
76,000
96.9%
–
78,000
93.0%
–
80,000
82.5%
–
82,000
66.5%
–
84,000
45.5%
–
86,000
25.5%
–
88,000
12.5%
–
90,000
5.65%
–
92,000
2.55%
–
94,000
1.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.