Bitcoin above ___ on September 20?

Polymarket traders put "68,000" at 97.8% on "Bitcoin above ___ on September 20?". $450 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
68,000
98%
CryptoVol $450Total volume $450Liquidity $134Kin 7 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Sep 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
68,000
97.8%
70,000
95.4%
72,000
90.5%
74,000
78.0%
76,000
59.0%
78,000
37.5%
80,000
19.5%
82,000
9.00%
84,000
4.55%
86,000
2.50%
88,000
1.70%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.