Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Polymarket traders put "Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?" at 99.9%. Up 15.3%p from yesterday. $1.4M traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
▲15.3100%
CryptoVol $1.4MTotal volume $1.4MLiquidity $386KCloses today (Oct 5)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
99.9%
▲15.3

Probability over time

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
025507510010/410/510/6
2026-10-04 ~ 2026-10-06 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.