Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

Polymarket traders put "Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?" at 71.0%. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?
71%
CultureVol -Total volume $132Liquidity $222Comments 1in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?
71.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.