Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series

Most likely right now
“Widow’s Bay”
0.555%
CultureVol $1.8KTotal volume $74KLiquidity $26Kin 20 days (Sep 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
“Widow’s Bay”
55.0%
0.5
“Hacks”
41.5%
0.5
“Abbott Elementary”
1.90%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
0.80%
“The Bear”
0.75%
“Shrinking”
0.60%
“Nobody Wants This”
0.50%
“Only Murders in the Building”
0.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.