Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series
Most likely right now
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
–91%
CultureVol $1.5KTotal volume $19KLiquidity $20Kin 20 days (Sep 14)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
91.3%
–
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”
6.45%
▲0.8
Jason Segel – “Shrinking”
2.35%
▲0.9
Steve Carell – “Rooster”
1.10%
▲0.8
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”
0.80%
▼1.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
