Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

Most likely right now
Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”
93%
CultureVol $163Total volume $15KLiquidity $11Kin 20 days (Sep 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”
92.5%
Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses”
3.20%
Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise”
3.15%
Mark Ruffalo – “Task”
2.75%
Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”
2.50%
0.8

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.