Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Most likely right now
Oscar Isaac – “Beef”
0.567%
CultureVol $943Total volume $55KLiquidity $9.2Kin 20 days (Sep 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Oscar Isaac – “Beef”
66.5%
0.5
Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”
17.5%
0.5
Riz Ahmed – “Bait”
14.0%
6.5
Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit”
4.85%
0.5
Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
3.70%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.