Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

Most likely right now
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
41%
CultureVol $534Total volume $35KLiquidity $6.2Kin 20 days (Sep 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
41.0%
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
32.0%
7.5
Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt”
18.4%
3.3
Billy Crudup – “The Morning Show”
7.30%
Jack Lowden – “Slow Horses”
5.05%
1.1
Carlos-Manuel Vesga – “Pluribus”
2.00%
Gerran Howell – “The Pitt”
1.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.