GPT-6 released by…?

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
0.570%
TechVol $11KTotal volume $1.6MLiquidity $51KComments 69in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
70.0%
0.5
November 30, 2026
55.5%
4.0
October 31, 2026
47.5%
3.0
September 30, 2026
34.5%
1.0
September 15, 2026
17.0%
3.0
August 31, 2026
1.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.