How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "25+" at 96.3% on "How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
25+
▲0.596%
CultureVol -Total volume $21KLiquidity $1.6KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
25+
96.3%
▲0.5
22–24
3.60%
▲0.6
19–21
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
