How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?
Most likely right now
6.5+
–100%
WeatherVol $271Total volume $6.2KLiquidity $9.8Kin 1 months (Oct 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
6.5+
99.6%
–
7.0+
79.0%
–
7.5+
37.5%
▼3.0
8.0+
6.50%
▲0.5
8.5+
6.40%
▼1.1
9.0+
3.80%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
