Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?" at 18.5%. Up 1.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
1.519%
CultureVol -Total volume $53KLiquidity $138in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
18.5%
1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.