Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?

Polymarket traders put "8°C or below" at 32.0% on "Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?". There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 26.

Most likely right now
8°C or below
32%
WeatherVol -Total volume -Liquidity $7.4KCloses tomorrow (Aug 26)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
8°C or below
32.0%
12°C
30.5%
13°C
27.5%
14°C
24.5%
11°C
22.5%
15°C
15.0%
10°C
13.0%
16°C
9.00%
9°C
4.50%
17°C
4.50%
18°C or higher
0.55%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.