Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?

Polymarket traders put "25°C or higher" at 57.5% on "Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 24.

Most likely right now
25°C or higher
8.057%
WeatherVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $3.5KClosed (Aug 24)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25°C or higher
57.5%
8.0
21°C
45.5%
19.5
23°C
43.0%
17.0
15°C or below
14.5%
3.0
16°C
14.5%
3.5
18°C
14.5%
3.5
20°C
14.5%
3.5
24°C
4.50%
23.0
17°C
0.45%
10.1
19°C
0.15%
0.8
22°C
0.15%
25.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.