Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?

Polymarket traders put "22°C" at 25.5% on "Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?". $182 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 25.

Most likely right now
22°C
26%
WeatherVol $182Total volume $182Liquidity $1.8KClosed (Aug 25)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
22°C
25.5%
23°C
25.5%
15°C or below
20.0%
16°C
12.5%
17°C
12.5%
18°C
12.5%
19°C
12.5%
20°C
12.5%
21°C
12.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.