Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Most likely right now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
1.96%
TechVol $452Total volume $144KLiquidity $7.5KComments 9in 7 months (Mar 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6.10%
1.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.