Next Claude Opus released by...?

Most likely right now
December 31
96%
TechVol $5.3KTotal volume $21KLiquidity $16Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
96.3%
October 31
81.0%
3.5
September 30
35.0%
10.5
August 31
10.8%
7.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.