Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Most likely right now
Tom Cruise
28%
CultureVol $639Total volume $91KLiquidity $201KComments 4in 7 months (Mar 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tom Cruise
28.5%
Matt Damon
28.5%
Andrew Scott
15.5%
John Malkovich
10.3%
Robert Pattinson
7.15%
1.4
Sebastian Stan
3.05%
Ryan Gosling
2.45%
Timothée Chalamet
2.30%
Javier Bardem
1.40%
1.8
Sam Rockwell
1.10%
Brad Pitt
0.85%
Jeremy Strong
0.75%
Pedro Pascal
0.70%
Josh O'Connor
0.35%
Adam Driver
0.30%
Jaafar Jackson
0.25%
Robert Aramayo
0.20%
John Turturro
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.