Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Most likely right now
The Odyssey
26%
CultureVol $127Total volume $17KLiquidity $23Kin 7 months (Mar 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
The Odyssey
26.0%
The Black Ball
25.0%
The Invite
22.5%
1.5
Dune: Part Three
11.1%
8.4
Project Hail Mary
7.60%
2.1
Wildwood
6.65%
3.8
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6.50%
The Social Reckoning
5.35%
Ink
5.30%
Clarissa
1.50%
0.8
Cry to Heaven
1.20%
All of a Sudden
1.15%
Saturn Return
0.50%
The Whisper Man
0.15%
Toy Story 5
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.