Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

Polymarket traders put "Christopher Nolan" at 66.5% on "Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner". There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 14.

Most likely right now
Christopher Nolan
67%
CultureVol -Total volume $8.1KLiquidity $17Kin 7 months (Mar 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Christopher Nolan
66.5%
Denis Villeneuve
13.0%
Peter Farrelly
6.70%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
6.50%
Jesse Eisenberg
5.55%
Aaron Sorkin
4.55%
Martin McDonagh
3.40%
Lance Oppenheim
3.10%
1.9
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller
3.00%
Steven Spielberg
1.50%
1.1
Olivia Wilde
1.05%
David O. Russell
0.40%
Bassam Tariq
0.20%
Jordan Firstman
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.