Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

Polymarket traders put "The Black Ball" at 61.5% on "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $217 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 14.

Most likely right now
The Black Ball
1.562%
CultureVol $217Total volume $7.6KLiquidity $18Kin 7 months (Mar 14)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
The Black Ball
61.5%
1.5
Fjord
19.0%
1.0
All of a Sudden
7.50%
2.0
Coward
6.80%
4.8
Rose
4.80%
Sheep in the Box
4.60%
1.1
The Beloved
4.45%
The Dreamed Adventure
4.30%
Possible Love
4.10%
2.2
Hope
3.50%
Fatherland
3.05%
0.9
Minotaur
2.90%
The Man I Love
2.50%
1.3
Bitter Christmas
2.15%
Parallel Tales
0.85%
0.6

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.