Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August

Polymarket traders put "104 km/h or above" at 98.0% on "Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August". Up 27.6%p from yesterday. $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 1.

Most likely right now
104 km/h or above
27.698%
WeatherVol $3.2KTotal volume $6.4KLiquidity $3.5Kin 5 days (Sep 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
104 km/h or above
98.0%
27.6
94 to 103 km/h
1.35%
11.2
93 km/h or below
0.60%
16.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.