Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Most likely right now
Google
▲5.584%
TechVol $1.8KTotal volume $29KLiquidity $14Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
84.0%
▲5.5
Alibaba
8.50%
▼6.0
Anthropic
3.95%
▲1.2
OpenAI
3.25%
▲1.4
Tencent
1.50%
–
Xiaomi
1.45%
▲1.2
SpaceXAI
1.20%
–
Moonshot
1.05%
–
Mistral
0.75%
–
MiniMax
0.65%
–
Baidu
0.60%
–
Z.ai
0.60%
–
Meta
0.60%
–
DeepSeek
0.60%
–
Amazon
0.60%
–
ByteDance
0.60%
▼0.8
Nvidia
0.45%
–
Meituan
0.35%
–
StepFun
0.35%
–
Microsoft
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
