SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

Most likely right now
October 31
1.196%
TechVol $4.9KTotal volume $385KLiquidity $64Kin 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
96.1%
1.1
September 30
93.0%
1.3
Super Heavy booster explodes?
79.5%
Successful splash down?
78.5%
September 15
56.0%
31.5
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
5.95%
Chopsticks catch Starship?
4.25%
August 31
2.05%
1.1

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.