Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Most likely right now
Alibaba
▲0.557%
TechVol $121Total volume $32KLiquidity $11Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alibaba
57.5%
▲0.5
OpenAI
19.5%
▲1.0
Google
14.0%
▲1.0
Moonshot
6.45%
▲2.5
Meta
5.75%
▲0.7
Baidu
4.90%
▲1.7
Z.ai
4.40%
–
Anthropic
1.95%
–
SpaceXAI
1.40%
–
MiniMax
0.85%
–
Mistral
0.65%
–
Microsoft
0.65%
–
Xiaomi
0.25%
–
DeepSeek
0.25%
–
Bytedance
0.25%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
Tencent
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
