TIME Person of the Year 2026
Polymarket traders put "Zohran Mamdani" at 37.0% on "TIME Person of the Year 2026". $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Zohran Mamdani
–37%
CultureVol $10Total volume $26KLiquidity $515KComments 6in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Zohran Mamdani
37.0%
–
Pope Leo XIV
15.0%
–
Donald Trump
14.0%
▼0.5
Elon Musk
11.5%
–
Christina Koch
7.55%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
7.00%
–
Artificial Intelligence
7.00%
▲0.5
Reid Wiseman
6.50%
–
Jerome Powell
5.90%
–
Jeremy Hansen
5.50%
–
Bad Bunny
5.40%
–
James Talarico
5.15%
–
Marco Rubio
5.00%
▼0.5
Péter Magyar
4.65%
▲0.5
Sam Altman
4.55%
–
Dario Amodei
4.50%
–
Shehbaz Sharif
4.50%
–
Victor Glover
4.50%
▼1.0
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
4.25%
–
Taylor Swift
4.10%
–
ChatGPT
4.00%
–
Alysa Liu
3.65%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
