Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Most likely right now
Tanoa Sasraku
35%
CultureVol $805Total volume $4.9KLiquidity $14KComments 1in 4 months (Dec 10)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tanoa Sasraku
35.0%
Kira Freije
24.0%
0.5
Marguerite Humeau
21.5%
Simeon Barclay
14.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.