What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Most likely right now
Dolly
2.553%
WeatherVol $450Total volume $11KLiquidity $15Kin 3 months (Dec 2)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Dolly
53.0%
2.5
Edouard
31.0%
5.5
Fay
14.0%
2.5
Gonzalo
5.80%
2.9
Paulette
3.90%
0.9
Isaias
3.10%
1.2
Other
2.65%
Hanna
2.15%
Omar
1.70%
Wilfred
1.65%
Teddy
1.35%
Cristobal
1.15%
Rene
1.05%
Vicky
1.05%
Nana
0.50%
Marco
0.45%
Leah
0.40%
Josephine
0.35%
Sally
0.35%
Kyle
0.20%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.