What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
Most likely right now
Over 2.5
▲19.063%
WeatherVol $2.2KTotal volume $6.7KLiquidity $4.0Kin 7 months (Apr 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Over 2.5
62.5%
▲19.0
2.25–2.5
19.5%
▼4.0
2.0–2.25
16.7%
▼9.3
Under 1.5
0.25%
–
1.5–2.0
0.25%
▼2.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
