Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
Polymarket traders put "New York" at 27.5% on "Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?". Up 24.0%p from yesterday. $217 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 8.
Most likely right now
New York
▲24.028%
WeatherVol $217Total volume $12KLiquidity $3.4Kin 3 months (Dec 8)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
New York
27.5%
▲24.0
Rhode Island
14.0%
▲4.2
Hawaii
11.5%
▼0.5
Texas
11.0%
▼1.5
South Carolina
11.0%
▼0.5
Delaware
11.0%
–
New Hampshire
8.60%
▲1.1
Mississippi
8.50%
–
Georgia
8.50%
–
Maryland
8.00%
▼1.1
Maine
7.90%
–
Alabama
6.50%
–
Virginia
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
