Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

Most likely right now
OpenAI
67%
TechVol $498Total volume $24KLiquidity $12Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
OpenAI
66.5%
Anthropic
32.5%
3.0
Moonshot
0.95%
Thinky
0.60%
Tencent
0.55%
Meta
0.50%
Google
0.50%
Alibaba
0.50%
SpaceXAI
0.50%
Amazon
0.50%
MiniMax
0.50%
Mistral
0.50%
ByteDance
0.35%
Baidu
0.30%
Z.ai
0.30%
Xiaomi
0.30%
Nvidia
0.30%
1.3
Meituan
0.30%
StepFun
0.30%
DeepSeek
0.15%
Microsoft
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.