Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?" at 26.5%. Up 6.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
▲6.027%
WeatherVol -Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $99in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
26.5%
▲6.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
