Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Most likely right now
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
2.514%
TechVol $119Total volume $341KLiquidity $1.0KComments 11in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
14.0%
2.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.