Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?" at 12.9%. Unchanged from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
–13%
WeatherVol -Total volume $4.8KLiquidity $3.1KComments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
12.9%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
