Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

Most likely right now
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
4.085%
WeatherVol $86Total volume $958Liquidity $217in 1 months (Oct 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
85.0%
4.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.