Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?" at 32.5%. Down 6.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
▼6.533%
WeatherVol -Total volume $41Liquidity $101in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
32.5%
▼6.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
