Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
Most likely right now
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
–90%
WeatherVol $218Total volume $6.7KLiquidity $1.4Kin 7 months (Apr 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
90.3%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
