폴리마켓 정치 예측시장 확률

정치 분야에서 열려 있는 폴리마켓 시장 2,472개입니다. 거래대금이 큰 순서로 늘어놓았습니다.

2401
TN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 5-10%–39%
Republican 10-15%–39%
외 2개
2402
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 25-30%▲0.938%
Republican 5-10%▲0.838%
외 2개
2403
FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-3%▲0.539%
Republican 9-12%–38%
외 2개
2404
FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-3%▼0.538%
Democrat 9-12%▼0.538%
외 2개
2405
FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 9-12%–38%
Republican 0-3%–38%
외 2개
2406
FL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 15-20%–39%
Republican 0-5%–39%
외 2개
2407
FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 25-30%–38%
Republican 10-15%▼0.538%
외 2개
2408
CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 10-15%–39%
Democrat 35-40%▼0.539%
외 2개
2409
CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 15-20%–39%
Republican Wins▲0.539%
외 2개
2410
CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 10-15%▲1.040%
Democrat 0-10%–39%
외 2개
2411
CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 15-20%▲1.139%
Republican Wins▲0.638%
외 2개
2412
CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 3%+▲1.439%
Democrat 18-21%–38%
외 2개
2413
CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
외 2개
2414
CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 20-25%–39%
Democrat 30-35%–39%
외 2개
2415
CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 15-20%–39%
Democrat 0-5%▼0.539%
외 2개
2416
CA-44 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 15-25%▲2.040%
Republican Wins▲0.938%
외 2개
2417
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-25%–39%
Democrat 55-60%–38%
외 2개
2418
CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 25-30%–39%
Democrat 20-25%▼0.539%
외 2개
2419
CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
외 2개
2420
CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 30%+–39%
Democrat 5-10%▼0.538%
외 2개
2421
CA-38 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 30%+–39%
Republican Wins▲0.938%
외 2개
2422
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican Wins–42%
Democrat 50-55%▲1.540%
외 2개
2423
CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 30%+–39%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
외 2개
2424
VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Republican 0-5%▲0.838%
외 2개
2425
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 0-10%–39%
Republican 20-25%▲0.539%
외 2개
2426
VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 40-45%▲1.039%
Democrat 55-60%–38%
외 2개
2427
VA-11 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 45-50%▲1.540%
Democrat 40-45%–39%
외 2개
2428
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 5-15%–38%
Democrat 40-45%–38%
외 2개
2429
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 5-10%▲0.539%
Republican 35%+–39%
외 2개
2430
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Republican 30%+–39%
Republican 25-30%▼0.538%
외 2개
2431
WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 0-50%▲1.539%
Democrat 80-85%▲1.539%
외 2개
2432
WA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 15-20%–38%
Democrat 10-15%–38%
외 2개
2433
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 55-60%▼0.538%
Democrat 35-40%–38%
외 2개
2434
WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 25-30%▼0.539%
Democrat 20-25%▲0.539%
외 2개
2435
WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Democrat 20-25%–47%
Democrat 15-20%–45%
외 2개
2436
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
정치거래 -22일 뒤
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?–6.00%
2437
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
정치거래 -3개월 뒤
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?–3.80%
2438
Launceston Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Matthew Garwood▼1.057%
Kyle Barrett▲1.521%
외 2개
2439
Devonport Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Alison Jarman–54%
Steve Martin▲7.543%
2440
West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Rick Shegog▲2.573%
Carl Cooper–18%
외 2개
2441
Brighton Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Leigh Gray▲3.599%
Phil Owen▼3.81.30%
2442
Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Janet Gatehouse▲2.585%
Kristian Horvath▲0.516%
외 1개
2443
Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Andrew McCullagh▲8.046%
Angela Offord▼4.315%
외 2개
2444
Latrobe Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -19일 뒤
Brett Whiteley▼0.558%
James Redgrave▲4.518%
외 1개
2445
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?
정치거래 -3개월 뒤
12월 31일–43%
11월 30일▼0.528%
외 1개
2446
North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
정치거래 -댓글 126일 뒤
Anita Earls (D)–81%
Sarah Stevens (R)▼1.018%
2447
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
정치거래 -3개월 뒤
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?–5.25%
2448
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
정치거래 -3개월 뒤
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?–3.20%
2449
Arizona Attorney General Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Kris Mayes (D)–80%
Warren Petersen (R)–17%
2450
Michigan Attorney General Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Eli Savit (D)–77%
Doug Lloyd (R)–24%
2451
New York Attorney General Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Letitia James (D)–98%
Saritha Komatireddy (R)▲0.73.50%
2452
Wisconsin Attorney General Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Josh Kaul (D)▼0.580%
Eric Toney (R)▲3.019%
2453
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Beau Bayh (D)–56%
Max Engling (R)▲1.043%
2454
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)–84%
Jay Schroeder (R)▼0.513%
2455
Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Dan Patrick (R)–71%
Vikki Goodwin (D)–30%
2456
Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Molly Gray (D)–92%
John S. Rodgers (R)–6.50%
2457
Guam Governor Election Winner
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Therese Terlaje (D)–67%
Vicente Ada (R)–33%
2458
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
정치거래 -댓글 93개월 뒤
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?–5.05%
2459
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
6-7▼6.039%
8-9–36%
외 2개
2460
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
8-9▲1.037%
6-7▼0.531%
외 2개
2461
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?
정치거래 -댓글 53개월 뒤
12월 31일–1.85%
2462
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
정치거래 -댓글 43개월 뒤
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?▼2.615%
2463
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
6-7%▼1.541%
7-8%–39%
외 2개
2464
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
6-7%▲7.049%
5-6%▼1.027%
외 2개
2465
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
6.5-7.5%▲3.538%
5.5-6.5%▲0.518%
외 2개
2466
Whitby, ON Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -16일 뒤
Elizabeth Roy–79%
Chris Leahy▲1.018%
외 1개
2467
Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner
정치거래 -16일 뒤
Kevin Ashe▼3.568%
Janice Frampton▼0.518%
외 2개
2468
Kolkata Municipal Election Winner
정치거래 -댓글 13개월 뒤
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)▲2.091%
All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)▼3.15.15%
외 2개
2469
Israel Election: Together vote share?
정치거래 -18일 뒤
9-11%▲8.033%
7-9%▲2.028%
외 2개
2470
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
정치거래 -25일 뒤
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?▼2.048%
2471
EU dissolves before 2027?
정치거래 -댓글 103개월 뒤
EU dissolves before 2027?–1.25%
2472
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
정치거래 -댓글 153개월 뒤
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?–2.80%
확률은 폴리마켓 예측시장의 체결가로, 참가자들이 실제 돈을 걸어 형성한 값입니다. 공식 전망이나 예측이 아니며 투자 판단의 근거로 삼기 어렵습니다. 매일 아침 한 차례 수집하므로 장중 변동은 반영되지 않습니다.