ポリマーケット 政治 の確率
政治分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場2,511件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。
2401
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
政治出来高 -3か月後
12月31日▼0.517%
10月31日–3.45%
2402
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
政治出来高 -21日後
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?–1.55%
2403
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 23か月後
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?▲0.72.80%
2404
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner
政治出来高 -3か月後
APC–77%
LP–8.30%
他2件
2405
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 11か月後
Lee Fairclough▲4.062%
Navdeep Bains–35%
他2件
2406
Bratislava Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -14日後
Juraj Droba–97%
Rastislav Gajarský▼0.52.55%
2407
Trnava Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -14日後
Jozef Viskupič–92%
Peter Hambálek▲1.06.00%
他1件
2408
Košice Region Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 214日後
Rastislav Trnka–61%
Marián Porvažník–36%
他1件
2409
Bratislava Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -14日後
Matúš Vallo–96%
Jozef Ráž–3.50%
他2件
2410
Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -14日後
Peter Fiabáne–74%
Rastislav Johanes–24%
他2件
2411
Next Mayor of České Budějovice
政治出来高 -9か月後
Dagmar Škodová Parmová▲1.068%
Viktor Lavička▼1.521%
他2件
2412
Next Mayor of Pardubice
政治出来高 -9か月後
Jan Nadrchal–55%
Jakub Rychtecký▲0.537%
他2件
2413
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
政治出来高 -9か月後
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?–11%
2414
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
政治出来高 -24日後
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?▲0.524%
2415
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?
政治出来高 -コメント 13か月後
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?▲0.517%
2416
Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
アブドゥル・エルサイード（D）–85%
マイク・ロジャーズ（R）▼0.512%
2417
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Aaron Ford (D)–64%
Joe Lombardo (R)–37%
2418
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Angie Nixon (D)–100%
Ashley Moody (R)–0.80%
2419
Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Katie Hobbs (D)–87%
Andy Biggs (R)–11%
2420
Which party will win young men in the midterms?
政治出来高 -27日後
Democrats▼0.586%
Republicans▲1.015%
2421
GOP Black vote share?
政治出来高 -28日後
10–11%▲1.030%
8–9%▲2.024%
他2件
2422
CA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▼1.039%
Democrat 10-15%▲0.539%
他2件
2423
CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▲0.838%
Democrat 10-15%▲0.638%
他2件
2424
CA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-5%▼1.039%
Republican 0-5%–38%
他2件
2425
CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%–38%
Democrat 55%+–38%
他2件
2426
CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▼1.540%
Democrat 30%+▲1.040%
他2件
2427
CA-13 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 10-15%–38%
Democrat 15-20%–38%
他2件
2428
CA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 65%+–39%
Democrat 35-40%–39%
他2件
2429
CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 50-55%▲1.040%
Democrat 60-65%▼1.539%
他2件
2430
CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 20-25%–39%
Republican Wins–38%
他2件
2431
CA-19 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 35-40%▲1.039%
Democrat 40-45%▲1.039%
他2件
2432
CA-20 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat Wins▲0.538%
Republican 45%+–38%
他2件
2433
CA-21 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 15-20%–38%
Democrat 10-15%–38%
他2件
2434
CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 3-6%▼0.738%
Republican 6%+▲0.738%
他2件
2435
CA-23 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 25-30%▲1.040%
Republican 30%+▼0.538%
他2件
2436
CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 35-40%▲1.540%
Democrat 0-5%▲1.540%
他2件
2437
CA-25 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 10-15%▲1.040%
Democrat 15-20%▼0.538%
他2件
2438
CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 20-25%▲1.540%
Democrat 15-20%▲0.539%
他2件
2439
CA-28 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 35-40%▲0.539%
Democrat 0-5%–38%
他2件
2440
AL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 5%+–39%
Republican 0-5%▲1.138%
他2件
2441
CA-33 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-5%▲2.041%
Democrat 20-25%–39%
他2件
2442
CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 20-30%▲1.540%
Democrat 40-45%▲1.039%
他2件
2443
CA-31 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 5-10%–38%
Democrat 25-30%–38%
他2件
2444
CA-32 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▲1.540%
Democrat 20-25%▲1.540%
他2件
2445
TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 30%+–39%
Democrat Wins–39%
他2件
2446
TN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 5-10%–39%
Republican 10-15%–38%
他2件
2447
FL-25 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 0-3%▲1.540%
Republican 3-6%▲1.039%
他2件
2448
FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-3%–38%
Democrat 9-12%–38%
他2件
2449
FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 0-3%▲1.540%
Democrat 3-6%–39%
他2件
2450
FL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 0-5%–39%
Republican 15-20%–39%
他2件
2451
FL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 30%+▲0.539%
Republican 20-25%–38%
他2件
2452
CA-52 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-10%▲1.039%
Democrat 35-40%–39%
他2件
2453
CA-51 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 10-15%▲1.039%
Democrat 20-25%▲0.539%
他2件
2454
CA-50 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 40%+▲0.539%
Democrat 0-10%–39%
他2件
2455
CA-49 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 30%+▲2.539%
Republican Wins▼0.938%
他2件
2456
CA-48 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 3%+▲1.439%
Democrat 3-6%–38%
他2件
2457
CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
他2件
2458
CA-46 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 10-15%–40%
Democrat 30-35%–40%
他2件
2459
CA-45 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 15-20%–39%
Republican 5%+▲0.539%
他2件
2460
CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 35-40%▲0.539%
Democrat 0-25%▼1.539%
他2件
2461
CA-42 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▲1.040%
Democrat 20-25%–40%
他2件
2462
CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Democrat 25-30%–39%
他2件
2463
CA-39 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 5-10%–39%
Democrat 20-25%–39%
他2件
2464
CA-36 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 55%+▲2.040%
Democrat 30-35%▲0.539%
他2件
2465
CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 30%+–40%
Democrat 0-5%–39%
他2件
2466
VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 0-5%–39%
Republican 0-5%–38%
他2件
2467
VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 25-30%▲1.039%
Republican 40%+▲0.539%
他2件
2468
VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 60-65%▲1.540%
Republican Wins▲0.938%
他2件
2469
WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 25-30%▲1.540%
Republican Wins–38%
他2件
2470
WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 6-9%▲1.039%
Democrat 15%+–38%
他2件
2471
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 30-35%–39%
Republican 5-10%–39%
他2件
2472
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican 25-30%▲0.539%
Republican 30%+–39%
他2件
2473
WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 85-90%–38%
Democrat 0-50%▼1.038%
他2件
2474
WA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 20-30%▲1.540%
Democrat 35-40%▲1.039%
他2件
2475
WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Republican Wins▲0.738%
Democrat 35-40%–38%
他2件
2476
WA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
政治出来高 -24日後
Democrat 20-25%▼1.545%
Democrat 15-20%–44%
他2件
2477
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?
政治出来高 -21日後
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?▼0.55.50%
2478
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?–4.00%
2479
Glenorchy Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Sue Hickey▼8.056%
Russell Yaxley▼0.524%
他1件
2480
Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Stephanie Cameron▼9.534%
Ben Dudman▼0.534%
他1件
2481
Burnie Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Teeny Brumby▲5.045%
Giovanna Simpson▼4.041%
他2件
2482
Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -17日後
Casey Farrell▲13.546%
Michelle Dracoulis▼1.042%
他2件
2483
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?
政治出来高 -3か月後
12月31日–43%
11月30日–28%
他1件
2484
North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 125日後
Anita Earls (D)–81%
Sarah Stevens (R)▼2.016%
2485
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?–5.25%
2486
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
政治出来高 -3か月後
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?–3.65%
2487
Florida Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
James Uthmeier (R)–78%
José Javier Rodriguez (D)▲0.522%
2488
Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Keith Ellison (D)–75%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)–25%
2489
Nevada Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro (D)▼1.081%
Adriana Guzmán Fralick (R)–19%
2490
Texas Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Mayes Middleton (R)▼1.073%
Nathan Johnson (D)▼1.026%
2491
Wisconsin Attorney General Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Josh Kaul (D)▲0.581%
Eric Toney (R)▼1.018%
2492
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Beau Bayh (D)–56%
Max Engling (R)–43%
2493
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Garlin Gilchrist (D)▼3.084%
Anthony Forlini (R)–13%
2494
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)–84%
Jay Schroeder (R)▲0.513%
2495
Georgia Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Josh McLaurin (D)–54%
Greg Dolezal (R)–48%
2496
Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Dan Patrick (R)–71%
Vikki Goodwin (D)–30%
2497
Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
政治出来高 -24日後
Molly Gray (D)–92%
John S. Rodgers (R)–6.50%
2498
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 93か月後
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?–5.05%
2499
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
政治出来高 -17日後
6-7▲6.045%
8-9▼0.535%
他2件
2500
Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
政治出来高 -17日後
5▼4.027%
6▲1.226%
他2件
2501
Israel Election: Shas # of seats?
政治出来高 -17日後
6-7▲0.538%
8-9–37%
他2件
2502
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
政治出来高 -17日後
6-7▼3.044%
4-5▲0.532%
他2件
2503
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?
政治出来高 -コメント 53か月後
12月31日–1.80%
2504
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?
政治出来高 -17日後
6.5-7.5%▲3.542%
5.5-6.5%▲0.519%
他2件
2505
Ajax, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -コメント 115日後
Marilyn Crawford▼4.579%
Ashmeed Khan▲2.514%
他2件
2506
Whitby, ON Mayoral Election Winner
政治出来高 -15日後
Elizabeth Roy▲1.580%
Chris Leahy▼1.517%
他1件
2507
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?
政治出来高 -17日後
<0.75%–51%
0.75-1.25%–29%
他2件
2508
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?
政治出来高 -24日後
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?▼1.047%
2509
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?
政治出来高 -17日後
<2.75%▲2.056%
4.25%+▲19.035%
他2件
2510
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
政治出来高 -3か月後
12月31日–69%
10月31日▼0.522%
2511
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
政治出来高 -コメント 46か月後
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?–5.70%