폴리마켓 테크 예측시장 확률

테크 분야에서 열려 있는 폴리마켓 시장 239개입니다. 거래대금이 큰 순서로 늘어놓았습니다.

정치 경제 크립토 테크 문화 날씨·재난 기타

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?–8.50%

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?–11%

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by...?

테크거래 -댓글 27일 뒤

8월 31일–3.45%

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

10월 31일▲6.068%

12월 31일▼7.563%

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

August 30–46%

10월 31일▲0.544%

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?–8.20%

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

테크거래 -댓글 44개월 뒤

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?▲14.345%

Grok 5 released by...?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

12월 31일▲3.069%

11월 30일▼0.550%

New MAI thinking model released by...?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

12월 31일▼4.551%

9월 30일▼1.026%

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

테크거래 -6일 뒤

ByteDance–1.65%

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

테크거래 -댓글 14개월 뒤

Oliver Tree–38%

Chuck Norris–23%

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

앤스로픽–86%

Moonshot–4.25%

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

앤스로픽▼0.592%

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

앤스로픽–89%

Google▼0.54.60%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

앤스로픽–69%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

테크거래 -6일 뒤

앤스로픽–92%

OpenAI▲3.58.65%

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

12월 31일▲1.591%

10월 31일–48%

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

The Boys▲1.68.35%

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?▲2.525%

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

테크거래 -댓글 44개월 뒤

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?▼2.83.95%

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

2026년 10월 31일▲1.049%

2026년 9월 30일▼7.519%

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?▲0.56.50%

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?–97%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

앤스로픽–62%

OpenAI▲0.534%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

앤스로픽–46%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

앤스로픽–70%

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?–6.50%

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

September 14–20▲3.542%

September 28–October 4▼1.541%

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

테크거래 -3개월 뒤

11월 30일▲0.570%

9월 30일–47%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

테크거래 -3개월 뒤

11월 30일▼3.568%

10월 31일–52%

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

테크거래 -3개월 뒤

11월 30일▼3.573%

10월 31일▼3.058%

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

테크거래 -3개월 뒤

11월 30일▲5.553%

10월 31일▼2.545%

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

10월 31일▲6.081%

9월 30일–43%

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

9월 30일▼8.060%

9월 15일–58%

Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?

테크거래 -2개월 뒤

10월 31일▼2.571%

9월 30일–46%

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

테크거래 -1개월 뒤

9월 30일–89%

8월 31일–31%

Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by...?

테크거래 -4개월 뒤

12월 31일▼0.574%

11월 30일–49%

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

테크거래 -댓글 94개월 뒤

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?–13%