ポリマーケットテックの確率

テック分野で公開中のポリマーケット市場239件です。取引額の大きい順に並べています。

政治経済暗号資産テック文化天候・災害その他

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?

テック出来高 -4か月後

Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?–8.50%

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

テック出来高 -2か月後

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?–11%

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by...?

テック出来高 -コメント 27日後

8月31日–3.45%

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

テック出来高 -

10月31日▲6.068%

12月31日▼7.563%

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

テック出来高 -4か月後

August 30–46%

10月31日▲0.544%

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?

テック出来高 -4か月後

Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?–8.20%

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

テック出来高 -コメント 44か月後

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?▲14.345%

Grok 5 released by...?

テック出来高 -4か月後

12月31日▲3.069%

11月30日▼0.550%

New MAI thinking model released by...?

テック出来高 -4か月後

12月31日▼4.551%

9月30日▼1.026%

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of August?

テック出来高 -6日後

ByteDance–1.65%

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

テック出来高 -コメント 14か月後

Oliver Tree–38%

Chuck Norris–23%

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

テック出来高 -1か月後

Anthropic–86%

Moonshot–4.25%

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

テック出来高 -1か月後

Anthropic▼0.592%

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

テック出来高 -1か月後

Anthropic–89%

Google▼0.54.60%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

テック出来高 -1か月後

Anthropic–69%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of August?

テック出来高 -6日後

Anthropic–92%

OpenAI▲3.58.65%

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

テック出来高 -4か月後

12月31日▲1.591%

10月31日–48%

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

テック出来高 -4か月後

The Boys▲1.68.35%

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

テック出来高 -4か月後

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?▲2.525%

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

テック出来高 -コメント 44か月後

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?▼2.83.95%

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

テック出来高 -2か月後

2026年10月31日▲1.049%

2026年9月30日▼7.519%

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

テック出来高 -4か月後

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?▲0.56.50%

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

テック出来高 -1か月後

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?–97%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

テック出来高 -2か月後

Anthropic–62%

OpenAI▲0.534%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

テック出来高 -2か月後

Anthropic–46%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

テック出来高 -2か月後

Anthropic–70%

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

テック出来高 -4か月後

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

テック出来高 -4か月後

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?–6.50%

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

テック出来高 -2か月後

September 14–20▲3.542%

September 28–October 4▼1.541%

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

テック出来高 -3か月後

11月30日▲0.570%

9月30日–47%

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

テック出来高 -3か月後

11月30日▼3.568%

10月31日–52%

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

テック出来高 -3か月後

11月30日▼3.573%

10月31日▼3.058%

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

テック出来高 -3か月後

11月30日▲5.553%

10月31日▼2.545%

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

テック出来高 -2か月後

10月31日▲6.081%

9月30日–43%

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

テック出来高 -1か月後

9月30日▼8.060%

9月15日–58%

Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by...?

テック出来高 -2か月後

10月31日▼2.571%

9月30日–46%

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

テック出来高 -1か月後

9月30日–89%

8月31日–31%

Uber Eats First Zipline Drone Delivery by...?

テック出来高 -4か月後

12月31日▼0.574%

11月30日–49%

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

テック出来高 -コメント 94か月後

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?–13%