#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?

Polymarket traders put "ChatGPT" at 73.5% on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?". Up 11.0%p from yesterday. $913 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 4.

Most likely right now
ChatGPT
11.074%
TechVol $913Total volume $1.3KLiquidity $3.7Kin 4 days (Sep 4)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
ChatGPT
73.5%
11.0
Threads
12.2%
9.3
Vinted
8.00%
0.5
7 Brew Coffee
3.05%
Claude by Anthropic
3.00%
NBA 2K HQ
2.40%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.