Polymarket Tech odds
239 open Polymarket markets in Tech, ordered by how much money traded.
1
Which company has best AI model end of August?
TechVol $155Kin 5 days
Anthropic–98%
OpenAI–1.60%
+2 more
2
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
TechVol $49Kin 1 months
Anthropic▲0.591%
OpenAI▲0.75.80%
+2 more
3
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
TechVol $30KComments 7in 4 months
Nicolás Maduro▲11.918%
Erling Haaland▼5.514%
+2 more
4
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
TechVol $24KComments 2in 4 months
Z.ai–90%
Safe Superintelligence–4.45%
+2 more
5
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
TechVol $13Kin 1 months
October 31▲10.086%
September 30▲19.582%
+2 more
6
GPT-6 released by…?
TechVol $11KComments 69in 4 months
December 31, 2026▲0.570%
November 30, 2026▼4.056%
+2 more
7
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
TechVol $11Kin 1 months
Moonshot▼11.045%
Z.ai▼0.530%
+2 more
8
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
TechVol $11KComments 13in 3 months
November 30▲5.086%
October 31▲4.061%
+2 more
9
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
TechVol $11Kin 5 days
Alibaba▲1.695%
Z.ai▼0.93.75%
+2 more
10
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
TechVol $8.8Kin 4 months
16-19▼21.048%
12-15▲20.943%
+2 more
11
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
TechVol $8.1Kin 2 months
No release by November 1▼7.045%
September 7–September 13▲5.76.70%
+2 more
12
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
TechVol $7.3KComments 15in 4 months
December 31▼5.03.50%
13
Best AI model on August 24?
TechVol $7.2KClosed
claude-opus-5-high▲3.897%
claude-opus-5-max▼3.82.50%
+2 more
14
AI data center in space by...?
TechVol $7.0KComments 3in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027▼6.518%
December 31, 2026–2.35%
15
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
TechVol $7.0Kin 2 months
OpenAI▲7.085%
Microsoft AI▼2.18.65%
+2 more
16
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
TechVol $6.8KComments 2in 4 months
The Odyssey▼12.527%
Obsession▼1.527%
+2 more
17
SSI public model released by…?
TechVol $6.4KComments 2in 2 months
October 31▲14.062%
September 30▲12.040%
+1 more
18
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
TechVol $6.4Kin 4 months
Anthropic–70%
xAI▲0.712%
+2 more
19
Next Claude Opus released by...?
TechVol $5.3Kin 4 months
December 31–96%
October 31▲3.581%
+2 more
20
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
TechVol $5.3KComments 12in 2 months
October 31▼10.060%
September 15▼4.524%
+2 more
21
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
TechVol $5.2Kin 1 months
Alibaba▼3.067%
Moonshot▲4.314%
+2 more
22
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
TechVol $5.0Kin 6 days
Z.ai▲3.655%
Moonshot▼1.433%
+2 more
23
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
TechVol $4.9Kin 10 months
October 31▼1.196%
September 30▼1.393%
+2 more
24
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $4.7Kin 6 days
Moonshot▼3.678%
Alibaba▲1.613%
+2 more
25
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
TechVol $4.7Kin 1 months
OpenAI▼4.551%
Moonshot▲12.838%
+2 more
26
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
TechVol $4.3Kin 6 days
8-10▲4.584%
5-7▼2.66.05%
+2 more
27
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
TechVol $3.7Kin 6 days
Moonshot▲73.584%
OpenAI▼73.69.10%
+2 more
28
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $3.6KComments 1in 4 months
50%+▼6.573%
55%+▼8.048%
+2 more
29
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
TechVol $3.4KComments 3in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027▼17.551%
December 31, 2026▼4.07.50%
30
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
TechVol $3.3KComments 22in 2 months
October 31–89%
September 30▲1.778%
+2 more
31
Longest GitHub critical incident in August?
TechVol $3.2Kin 6 days
6-12 hours▲5.090%
12+ hours▲1.97.90%
+2 more
32
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
TechVol $3.2KComments 22in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027▲6.044%
June 30, 2027▲1.032%
+2 more
33
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
TechVol $3.1Kin 2 months
Meta▲26.046%
Alibaba▲9.019%
+2 more
34
Best AI model on August 31?
TechVol $3.0Kin 6 days
claude-opus-5-high▼9.054%
claude-opus-5-max▲10.541%
+2 more
35
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
TechVol $2.9Kin 6 days
OpenAI▲54.570%
Moonshot▼65.617%
+2 more
36
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
TechVol $2.9Kin 1 months
No release by September 30▲10.069%
September 28▼4.27.60%
+2 more
37
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $2.7Kin 4 months
50%+–71%
55%+▼13.045%
+2 more
38
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
TechVol $2.6Kin 2 months
Google▲13.040%
Meta▼1.023%
+2 more
39
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
TechVol $2.6Kin 2 months
Anthropic–86%
OpenAI▲0.55.70%
+2 more
40
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
TechVol $2.5Kin 2 months
Anthropic▲12.079%
OpenAI▲1.520%
+2 more
41
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
TechVol $2.5Kin 6 days
2800+–99%
2825+–93%
+1 more
42
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
TechVol $2.5Kin 7 days
No release by August 31–93%
August 27–2.25%
+2 more
43
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
TechVol $2.2KComments 80in 3 months
GTA 6 launch postponed again?–11%
44
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
TechVol $2.2Kin 7 days
<425mm▲15.078%
475-500mm▼3.322%
+2 more
45
GitHub.com critical incident by...?
TechVol $2.2Kin 1 months
September 30▲10.591%
September 15▼3.084%
+1 more
46
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
TechVol $2.2Kin 3 days
ChatGPT▲2.067%
Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace▲15.722%
+2 more
47
Second-best AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $2.1Kin 6 days
Google–83%
Meta▲1.311%
+2 more
48
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $2.0Kin 4 months
45%+–94%
50%+–61%
+2 more
49
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
TechVol $1.9Kin 3.4 years
December 31, 2026▼7.09.50%
50
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
TechVol $1.9KComments 12in 4 months
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?▲2.587%
51
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $1.9KComments 1in 4 months
45%+▲1.075%
50%+–56%
+2 more
52
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
TechVol $1.9Kin 2 months
Google▼1.067%
Pixverse▲4.38.40%
+2 more
53
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
TechVol $1.9Kin 4 months
40%+▼8.083%
45%+▼9.079%
+2 more
54
Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
TechVol $1.8Kin 6 days
Anthropic▲0.597%
OpenAI▼0.51.90%
+2 more
55
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $1.8Kin 1 months
Google▲5.584%
Alibaba▼6.08.50%
+2 more
56
Best AI model on September 7?
TechVol $1.7Kin 13 days
claude-opus-5-high▲6.551%
claude-opus-5-max▼11.529%
+2 more
57
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
TechVol $1.6Kin 1 months
Meta▲6.054%
Alibaba▼5.019%
+2 more
58
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
TechVol $1.6Kin 1 months
Google▼5.583%
ByteDance▲0.75.40%
+2 more
59
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $1.4Kin 4 months
55%+▼2.046%
60%+–27%
+2 more
60
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
TechVol $1.3Kin 1 months
OpenAI▲19.050%
Moonshot▼16.438%
+2 more
61
ChatGPT Outage by....?
TechVol $1.3Kin 7 days
September 30–89%
September 15–85%
+1 more
62
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
TechVol $1.3Kin 7 days
80-99▲4.553%
100–119▲14.041%
+2 more
63
What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
TechVol $1.3Kin 5 days
Texas▼0.557%
Video game / Videogame–36%
+2 more
64
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
TechVol $1.3Kin 1 months
2900+–97%
3000+–94%
65
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
TechVol $1.0Kin 1 months
6-12 hours▲2.034%
1-3 hours▲11.525%
+2 more
66
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
TechVol $1.0Kin 10 months
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?–88%
67
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
TechVol $936Comments 2
1480+▼8.681%
1490+–71%
+2 more
68
Third-best AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $855in 6 days
Meta▲6.585%
Google▲3.511%
+2 more
69
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
TechVol $794in 6 days
Anthropic▲1.694%
OpenAI▼0.71.85%
+2 more
70
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
TechVol $792in 2 months
Z.ai▲4.038%
Moonshot–28%
+2 more
71
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)
TechVol $740in 1 months
Meta▼2.045%
Google–30%
+2 more
72
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
TechVol $728in 4 months
14–16▼3.043%
17–19▼1.536%
+2 more
73
#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
TechVol $656in 6 days
Moonshot▲13.954%
Google▼1.040%
+2 more
74
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
TechVol $652in 6 days
Moonshot▼1.365%
Z.ai▼1.029%
+2 more
75
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
TechVol $649in 1 months
September 30▼4.051%
August 31▼5.520%
76
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
TechVol $635Comments 1in 2.4 years
December 31, 2028–36%
December 31, 2027▼1.532%
+1 more
77
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
TechVol $628in 2 months
Z.ai▲5.534%
Moonshot▼13.529%
+2 more
78
What will Best Buy say during their next earnings call?
TechVol $627in 2 days
Deliver / Delivered–98%
Quarter 15+ times–97%
+2 more
79
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
TechVol $616in 1 months
Anthropic–67%
OpenAI▼0.533%
+2 more
80
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
TechVol $571in 1 months
Z.ai▲2.048%
Moonshot▲0.524%
+2 more
81
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
TechVol $549Closed
1▲3.6100%
2▼3.10.90%
+2 more
82
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
TechVol $526Comments 1in 4 months
December 31, 2026▼2.09.00%
October 31, 2026–7.50%
83
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
TechVol $508Comments 3
1480+▲5.074%
1490+–28%
+2 more
84
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
TechVol $501in 2 months
Alibaba▼6.554%
Moonshot▼0.525%
+2 more
85
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of August?
TechVol $500in 6 days
OpenAI▲0.597%
Meta–1.40%
+2 more
86
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
TechVol $500Comments 5in 4 months
Bad Bunny–13%
Erling Haaland–12%
+2 more
87
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
TechVol $498in 1 months
OpenAI–67%
Anthropic▲3.033%
+2 more
88
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $490in 1 months
Moonshot▼11.556%
Alibaba▲8.033%
+2 more
89
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
TechVol $468in 6 days
20,000+▲13.417%
90
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
TechVol $452Comments 9in 7 months
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?▼1.96.10%
91
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
TechVol $431in 4 months
1500+–72%
1505+▲2.054%
+2 more
92
Second-best AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $419in 1 months
Google–59%
Meta▼4.512%
+2 more
93
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $399in 6 days
Google–96%
Anthropic–2.10%
+2 more
94
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
TechVol $385in 4 months
Tampa, FL–95%
San Diego, CA▲0.593%
+2 more
95
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $376in 2 months
Moonshot▼1.541%
Alibaba▲7.019%
+2 more
96
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
TechVol $376Comments 8in 4 months
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?▲1.056%
97
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
TechVol $371in 3 days
ChatGPT–36%
Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace▼3.523%
+2 more
98
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
TechVol $364in 7 days
1st hottest▼1.397%
4th or lower▲2.42.50%
+2 more
99
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $359in 2 months
Google▼1.574%
OpenAI▼3.07.50%
+2 more
100
How much will the iPhone 18 Pro cost?
TechVol $358in 7 months
$1000+–98%
$1100+▼1.296%
+2 more
101
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
TechVol $357Comments 2in 4 months
Inde Navarrette–28%
Tom Holland–19%
+2 more
102
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
TechVol $348Comments 1in 4 months
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?▲0.539%
103
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
TechVol $345in 6 days
13–82%
14–20%
+2 more
104
What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
TechVol $342in 2 days
Growth 30+ times–94%
Healthy–93%
+2 more
105
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $332in 6 days
Alibaba–89%
Moonshot–8.70%
+2 more
106
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
TechVol $331Comments 28in 4 months
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?–1.05%
107
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $308in 1 months
Alibaba▼1.544%
Moonshot▲6.526%
+2 more
108
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
TechVol $300in 1 months
Anthropic–84%
OpenAI–14%
+2 more
109
What will Nvidia say during their next earnings call?
TechVol $293Closes tomorrow
AI 20+ times–99%
Data Center 10+ times▼1.094%
+2 more
110
Third-best AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $292in 1 months
Google▲0.528%
Meta▼2.927%
+2 more
111
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
TechVol $284in 2 months
Moonshot–30%
OpenAI▼8.518%
+2 more
112
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
TechVol $269in 7 months
Fewer than 20▲1.043%
20 to 34▼0.539%
+2 more
113
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
TechVol $245Comments 5in 4 months
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?–1.75%
114
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
TechVol $241in 2 months
Anthropic▲1.086%
Meta–4.30%
+2 more
115
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
TechVol $240Comments 1in 4 months
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?▼0.58.50%
116
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
TechVol $236in 1 months
1520▼2.59.50%
1540–4.50%
+2 more
117
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
TechVol $235Comments 27in 4 months
1▲1.069%
2▼1.025%
+2 more
118
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $234in 2 months
Alibaba▲6.533%
OpenAI▲1.023%
+2 more
119
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
TechVol $231in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027–69%
June 30, 2027▲3.515%
120
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
TechVol $225Comments 1in 4 months
#3–37%
#1–11%
121
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
TechVol $221in 4 months
<5▼5.061%
5-6▲19.038%
+2 more
122
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
TechVol $220Comments 4in 4 months
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?–2.65%
123
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
TechVol $217in 2 months
October 31–75%
September 30▲5.551%
124
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
TechVol $208in 4 months
December 31▲4.559%
October 31▼1.056%
+1 more
125
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
TechVol $172in 4 months
↑3k–99%
↑3.5k▲0.595%
+2 more
126
Natural Disaster in 2026?
TechVol $153Comments 17in 4 months
Natural Disaster in 2026?▼3.525%
127
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
TechVol $139in 4 months
1575–73%
1600–28%
128
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
TechVol $139in 4 months
45%+▲5.093%
50%+▼1.589%
+2 more
129
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
TechVol $121in 1 months
Alibaba▲0.557%
OpenAI▲1.020%
+2 more
130
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
TechVol $119Comments 11in 4 months
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?▼2.514%
131
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
TechVol $109in 4 months
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?–12%
132
Another Elon baby by December 31?
TechVol $108in 4 months
Another Elon baby by December 31?▲15.534%
133
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
TechVol $102in 6 days
Alibaba–89%
Google▲1.23.70%
+2 more
134
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
TechVol $100in 6 days
<3–94%
3▲1.24.60%
+2 more
135
Precipitation in Seoul in August?
TechVol $90in 7 days
<150mm–46%
200-250mm–46%
+2 more
136
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
TechVol $82Comments 6in 4 months
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?–6.35%
137
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
TechVol $81in 4 months
Oliver Tree–33%
Chuck Norris–26%
+2 more
138
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
TechVol $80in 4 months
35%+–95%
40%+▲4.556%
+2 more
139
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
TechVol $80in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027–14%
December 31, 2026▼0.91.35%
140
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
TechVol $77Comments 8in 7 months
0▲10.063%
1–26%
+2 more
141
What will Zoom say during their next earnings call?
TechVol $77Closes today
AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times–97%
Customer 25+ times–97%
+2 more
142
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $74in 4 months
60%+–74%
65%+▲0.526%
+2 more
143
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
TechVol $72in 2 months
OpenAI▲11.554%
Moonshot▼2.037%
+2 more
144
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
TechVol $65in 4 months
December 31▼1.584%
October 31▼1.556%
+1 more
145
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
TechVol $60Comments 1in 4 months
55%+–88%
60%+▼1.064%
+2 more
146
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?
TechVol $57in 3 months
November 30▼1.568%
September 30▲1.049%
147
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $55in 2 months
Alibaba▼1.043%
Moonshot▲2.526%
+2 more
148
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of August?
TechVol $54in 6 days
Anthropic–96%
OpenAI–2.40%
+2 more
149
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of August?
TechVol $54in 6 days
OpenAI–94%
Anthropic▲1.03.50%
+2 more
150
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
TechVol $52in 4 months
↑ 1520▼2.047%
↑ 1530–27%
+2 more
151
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
TechVol $50Comments 4in 4 months
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?▼2.013%
152
Kimi K4 released by…?
TechVol $49Comments 2in 4 months
December 31, 2026▲0.59.00%
October 31, 2026–2.35%
153
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
TechVol $45in 2 months
Anthropic–77%
OpenAI▼3.012%
+2 more
154
Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by...?
TechVol $38in 1 months
September 30–52%
September 15–30%
+1 more
155
Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)
TechVol $37in 6 days
Anthropic▲1.197%
OpenAI–0.85%
+2 more
156
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
TechVol $36in 7 days
1.42–1.45ºC▲3.548%
1.38–1.41ºC–41%
+2 more
157
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
TechVol $36Comments 2in 4 months
December 31▼1.511%
158
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
TechVol $30in 4 months
7.9 or below–75%
8.0 – 8.1▲0.58.50%
+2 more
159
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
TechVol $26Comments 13in 4 months
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?–7.50%
160
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
TechVol $26Comments 1in 4 months
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?▲0.513%
161
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?
TechVol $25in 2 months
October 31–69%
September 30▲1.057%
+1 more
162
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
TechVol $23in 3 days
Shadowrocket▼0.593%
HotSchedules▼0.96.65%
+2 more
163
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?
TechVol $22in 1 months
September 30▲6.028%
October 31▲1.026%
+1 more
164
Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?
TechVol $21in 7 days
August 31▼2.042%
165
Third-best AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $21in 2 months
Google–31%
Alibaba–22%
+2 more
166
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
TechVol $20in 2 months
Google–30%
Meta▼1.024%
+2 more
167
#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
TechVol $20in 3 days
HotSchedules▲3.094%
Shadowrocket▼1.55.50%
+2 more
168
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
TechVol $20Comments 2in 4 months
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?–7.50%
169
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
TechVol $17Comments 45in 1.4 years
December 31, 2027–68%
June 30, 2027–54%
+1 more
170
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?
TechVol $16in 1 months
OpenAI–83%
SpaceXAI▼0.57.15%
+2 more
171
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
TechVol $13Comments 4in 4 months
100kt meteor strike in 2026?▲1.85.05%
172
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
TechVol $11in 2 months
Anthropic–74%
Thinky▲1.511%
+2 more
173
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
TechVol $10in 4 months
5kt meteor strike in 2026?▼0.529%
174
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
TechVol $10in 5 days
Anthropic▲0.699%
OpenAI▼0.90.90%
+2 more
175
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
TechVol $7Comments 6in 4 months
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?–5.50%
176
Next Kimi K model released by…?
TechVol $6in 4 months
December 31, 2026▲0.9100%
September 30, 2026▲2.093%
+2 more
177
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
TechVol $5in 4 months
140-159▲0.850%
160-179▲2.539%
+2 more
178
#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
TechVol $5in 6 days
Meta–93%
Google–3.45%
+2 more
179
Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
TechVol $3in 3 months
November 30–97%
September 30▲5.073%
180
Precipitation in London in August?
TechVol $3in 7 days
<30mm▼13.059%
30-40mm▼2.834%
+2 more
181
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
TechVol $3Comments 3in 4 months
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?–4.90%
182
Precipitation in NYC in August?
TechVol $2in 7 days
>6"▼1.553%
4-5"–2.85%
+2 more
183
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
TechVol $2Comments 1in 7 days
>1.29ºC–99%
1.25–1.29ºC–0.70%
+2 more
184
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
TechVol $2in 6 days
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?▼1.54.50%
185
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
TechVol $1in 10 months
June 30, 2027▼4.573%
December 31, 2026▲2.528%
+1 more
186
Precipitation in Seattle in August?
TechVol $1in 7 days
<0.5"▲1.089%
0.5-1"–11%
+2 more
187
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 42in 4 months
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?–99%
188
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 6in 4 months
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?–2.15%
189
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
TechVol -in 4 months
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?–3.85%
190
Human moon landing in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 34in 4 months
Human moon landing in 2026?–0.90%
191
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
TechVol -in 4 months
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?▲5.562%
192
Elon Bull Run Parlay
TechVol -Comments 1in 4 months
Elon Bull Run Parlay–6.65%
193
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 3in 4 months
None in 2026▼0.585%
Anthropic▲0.513%
+2 more
194
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 15in 4 months
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?–18%
195
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
TechVol -Comments 2in 5 months
1250+▲0.588%
1200–1249▲0.87.30%
+2 more
196
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
TechVol -Comments 36in 4 months
December 31, 2026–11%
October 31, 2026–7.50%
197
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
TechVol -in 4 months
1560–41%
1580–19%
+1 more
198
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
TechVol -in 4 months
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?▼1.17.20%
199
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
TechVol -Comments 2in 4 months
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?▼0.85.15%
200
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
TechVol -in 4 months
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?–89%